@raditz Said
Or they could cut spending and avoid having to raise the limit.
Where exactly?
Social security, medicare, and medicaid are all required by law. They are also paid through federal taxes, and are thus universally entitled.
Defense is out. Another major cost.
Which leaves discretionary programs in the non-military catagory.
That leaves us with 520 billion projected.
The total deficit for the fiscal year, leaving in interest and removing the entire 520 billion from the non-military discretionary catagory, and factoring in projected income for 2011 leaves us with about 747 billion dollars in the red.
Currently, even with this number I would guess that we have about a year, maybe two tops, if we don't increase revenue, don't increase the deficit ceiling and completly cut all non-military discretionary spending, starting now.
If the ceiling is set at 14.3 trillion, and the starting position for the debt subject to the ceiling is a little over 13 trillion
as cited by this article , that leaves a roughly 1-1.3 trillion gap, maybe. I'd need a more precise number to be sure. Anyway, completley removing discretionary non-military spending from both fiscal years 2011 and 2012 will result in a net deficit gain of 1100 billion dollars.
And thats assuming things like school grants and federal social services like them are completley removed from the equation. With them, we have about 1 year, maybe ten months at most, since the fiscal year starts in November.
Here is the source of my numbers. Start on page 155, and work your way down. Most of it is taken from the spreadsheet on that page, but the graphs past that point are all very useful. Especially the pie chart.