@USAFPSPRET Said 
Reading through the most recent round of presidential campaign polls by independent groups and the traditional and internet media now has President Obama seemingly strengthening as the likely choice for most voters.
The New York Times Politics section has an interesting internet page called FiveThirtyEight run by a young statistician, Nate Silver. Mr. Silver is generally loved or hated by the liberal media and pundits depending on his most recent data flow and how it affects liberal candidates.
Currently, Mr. Silver and his NYT page/poll predicts President Obama has a 76+% advantage in winning the national election in November and assuming a second term. His state by state poll shows NY as a 100% area for Obama, NJ in the high 90% range and PA now listed just over 93% for Obama. It is listed as a blog for the NYT, but I'll link it as Silver is a darling for the Left at this moment. Silver states as of today, Obama would take something over 308 electoral college votes. https://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/01/a-warning-on-the-accuracy-of-primary-polls/
This type of scenario was in play during the Carter run for a second term against Ronald Reagan. Carter was shown to have a 17% lead over Reagan just prior to the election. Reagan won in a landslide victory.
Are we seeing accurate data from the print, TV, radio and electronic media or is something happening in the mainstream media and its reporting that would suppress the obvious high turnout of right-of center voters in this year's elections?
Its been reported that conservative initiative this year is much higher than those on the liberal side, so why, as we enter the final stretch, is Obama being predicted the likely winner of the election? If you talk to people in south Jersey, they want Obama out at all costs, the same in Pennsylvania outside the large cities. Still the media is publishing polling data which would have one believe Obama can't lose.
Is this a subtle form of voter suppression or accurate data?
That's incorrect about Reagan vs. Carter. Yes, Carter did have a lead until the Oct. 29th debate (the only debate of the election), but after the debate, polls showed Reagan to be pulling even, which is why it is considered to be one of the biggest debates in our history. Reagan's immortal "there you go again," originated from there.
So what does this tell us? It tells us that polls are fairly accurate these days. Voters just changed their minds the last week in 1980.
This year Romney is going to have to hope for a similar game changer in the debates, as it is his only hope now after the Convention flop. And knowing Obama, I don't think it will happen.
Sep 16, 2012 @ 13:27:53
