@jonnythan Said A Gallup poll revealed that 28% of Clinton supporters would vote for McCain over Obama.
The same poll revealed that 20% of Obama supporters would vote for McCain over Clinton.
Not only is that just a tiny 8% difference, but you have to remember 2 things:
1) This is an incredibly tight and intense race. There are a ton of people that would answer "yes, I would vote for McCain over that other jerk" due to the intense rivalry - but, in 5 months, when they really are faced with Obama vs. McCain or Clinton vs. McCain, the vast majority would definitely not switch parties.
2) Clinton was on the ropes when the poll was taken. Her increasingly desperate supporters were fighting harder and harder against Obama. Obama's supporters were pretty comfortable. This alone could easily account for that 8% difference between the two.
On top of all that, according to Gallup itself, who ran this poll, 10% or less of Republicans and Democrats typically vote for the other party's presidential candidate.
By the way, the poll was a telephone poll of about 6000 people. Hardly rock solid proof, eh?
This kind of critical thinking ability is crucial when attempting to interpret the impact of statistics.
Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama 56% to 39% among men (46% of likely Democratic primary voters). Among women, Clinton leads 63% to 29%.
Clinton leads 57% to 38% among voters age 18 to 49 (46% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Clinton leads 63% to 30% among voters age 50 and older.
11% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the primary and 27% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary.
https://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/national-polls.html
see I can find polls that support my side too
the baby-boomers will decide this election and there are 78 million of them...
Jun 04, 2008 @ 03:21:26
