Election 2020

dookie

Foolish Bombu

, United Kingdom

#496

Oct 15, 2020 @ 19:33:19

The UK Guardian newspaper article

HERE

0

mrmhead

NE, Ohio

#497

Oct 15, 2020 @ 19:33:52

@Leon Said

I don’t think anyone can tally yet. But they can tally if the ballots are coming from registered Democrats vs registered Republicans, which, granted of course it isn’t official, is where the estimated numbers are coming from.

There's Pre-Processing, Tallying, and Deadlines

NY Times has a decent graphical representation

NCSL Has a table to read through.

Though some Tallying may start early, I don't think any can report results until the polls close.

And if I remember correctly, the news outlets don't start predicting outcomes until the west-coast polls close.

0

chaski

Stalker

Tree at Floydgirrl's Window,

#498

Oct 15, 2020 @ 19:37:28

@Leon Said

Interesting. Why is that?

I believe that our "democracy"... our constitution... our systems of government needs to be put to the test.

I would like to see Trump challenge the 22nd (i.e. two term only) amendment.

Then....

1. Our Supreme Court will have to decide if they will stick with our constitution or go against it.
2. Our citizens will have to also decide if going for a 3rd term is something they find acceptable.

The USA needs to be pushed to the limit and tested.

If "we" survive, then our system will have proven itself.

If not, then the whole thing is bs.

Either way, "we" will know.

0

Edited: October 15, 2020 @ 19:39

chaski

Stalker

Tree at Floydgirrl's Window,

#499

Oct 15, 2020 @ 19:41:55

@dookie Said

Just pessimistic? Bookies and Polls predict a Joe Biden win.

the polls were wrong in 2016.

Bookies... I'm pretty sure most of them were wrong in 2016 also.

The "x factor" is that Americans are the most willfully ignorant people on planet earth.

0

gakINGKONG

, Florida

#500

Oct 15, 2020 @ 19:43:06

And if I had one wish to make this election season . . . it would be for all of the children of the world join hands and sing together in a spirit of harmony and peace.

And I'm confident in saying that deep down we all want the very same thing.

I'd like to buy the world a home and furnish it with love

0

chaski

Stalker

Tree at Floydgirrl's Window,

#501

Oct 15, 2020 @ 19:47:34

@DiscordTiger Said

Shut your dirty whore mouth!

If my voodoo doll spells work, the Senate will shift Democrat... the H.R. will remain Democrat... Trump will be impeached... then removed from office.

Sure at that point will be stuck with Pence, but with a Democrat controlled congress he will be a lame duck.

The only problem is that i don't have any rot-gut Haitian rum for the voodoo ceremonies.... and I just don't know if Papa Legba accepts low quality tequila instead... fingers crosses on that one.

0

dookie

Foolish Bombu

, United Kingdom

#502

Oct 15, 2020 @ 19:52:21

@chaski Said

the polls were wrong in 2016.

Bookies... I'm pretty sure most of them were wrong in 2016 also.

The "x factor" is that Americans are the most willfully ignorant people on planet earth.

Now look here Chaski, the UK people are the most.......oh, forget it.

Reading the Guardian article linked above, it seems uncertain if the poll bias towards the Democrats in 2016 has been corrected despite "assurances". Nevertheless, the lead of Joe Biden over Donald Trump is on average about double that of 2016 (Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump)

Yes, the Bookies got it wrong in 2016.

0

chaski

Stalker

Tree at Floydgirrl's Window,

#503

Oct 15, 2020 @ 20:00:31

@dookie Said

Now look here Chaski, the UK people are the most.......oh, forget it.

Reading the Guardian article linked above, it seems uncertain if the poll bias towards the Democrats in 2016 has been corrected despite "assurances". Nevertheless, the lead of Joe Biden over Donald Trump is on average about double that of 2016 (Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump)

Yes, the Bookies got it wrong in 2016.

I look at it like this:

> I voted against Trump.
> I strongly suggest and support others to vote against Trump.

> But in the words of someone (Margaret Thatcher?), "hope for the best, plan for the worst, and you will end up ok".

In other words, I'm not getting my hopes up. I'd rather be pleasantly surprised than let down.

0

DiscordTiger

The Queen of Random

Administrator

Emerald City, United States (g

#504

Oct 15, 2020 @ 20:30:56

Nah, I totally get your logic.

0

Leon

San Diego, California

#505

Oct 15, 2020 @ 23:03:12

@chaski Said

I believe that our "democracy"... our constitution... our systems of government needs to be put to the test.

I would like to see Trump challenge the 22nd (i.e. two term only) amendment.

Then....

1. Our Supreme Court will have to decide if they will stick with our constitution or go against it.
2. Our citizens will have to also decide if going for a 3rd term is something they find acceptable.

The USA needs to be pushed to the limit and tested.

If "we" survive, then our system will have proven itself.

If not, then the whole thing is bs.

Either way, "we" will know.

Ah okay. Figured it was something like that.

As for point 2, we already know the answer - it would likely be 50ish vs. 40ish or somewhere near that in polling. In other words, split along party lines. We already know, from more generalized surveys in the past that people prefer security (real or imagined) over freedom.

0

Edited: October 15, 2020 @ 23:14

Leon

San Diego, California

#506

Oct 15, 2020 @ 23:07:51

@chaski Said

the polls were wrong in 2016.

Bookies... I'm pretty sure most of them were wrong in 2016 also.

The "x factor" is that Americans are the most willfully ignorant people on planet earth.

The polls were not wrong. Clinton had a 2 point polling lead at the election. Guess how much she won the popular vote by? And even if she hadn’t won the popular vote, it still would have been within the margin of error.

As of today, Biden is averaging 9.7 points ahead of Trump.

0

Edited: October 15, 2020 @ 23:11

Leon

San Diego, California

#507

Oct 15, 2020 @ 23:10:49

@mrmhead Said

There's Pre-Processing, Tallying, and Deadlines

NY Times has a decent graphical representation

NCSL Has a table to read through.

Though some Tallying may start early, I don't think any can report results until the polls close.

And if I remember correctly, the news outlets don't start predicting outcomes until the west-coast polls close.

Thanks for the info! So it’s more like we don’t know the results yet, but some people do...of some the mail in ballots that is.

But we do know where the ballots are coming from and it is predominantly Democratic. Unlike the past. in terms of mail in ballots, which were predominantly from older, conservative voters.

0

chaski

Stalker

Tree at Floydgirrl's Window,

#508

Oct 15, 2020 @ 23:29:46

@Leon Said

The polls were not wrong. Clinton had a 2 point polling lead at the election. Guess how much she won the popular vote by? And even if she hadn’t won the popular vote, it still would have been within the margin of error.

As of today, Biden is averaging 9.7 points ahead of Trump.

The polls were wrong?

And I thought Trump was president these last 3+ years.

Silly me.

0

Darkman666

Saint Louis, Missouri

#509

Oct 15, 2020 @ 23:33:33

seem nbc force air bozo's nonsense, after all, nbc want to air their prime time crap over bozo's crap tonight.

nobody watch nbc anymore, abc will win the rating. probably, mbl playoff will win the rating for the night. it would typical, but it would pretty funny.

0

chaski

Stalker

Tree at Floydgirrl's Window,

#510

Oct 15, 2020 @ 23:34:08

@Leon Said

Ah okay. Figured it was something like that.

As for point 2, we already know the answer - it would likely be 50ish vs. 40ish or somewhere near that in polling. In other words, split along party lines. We already know, from more generalized surveys in the past that people prefer security (real or imagined) over freedom.

I still want to see our country put to the test, and see if our constitution survives it.

Once we survived a civil war, but can we survive a direct assault on our constitution.

0

Similar Topics
	Forum	Topic	Last Post	Replies	Views
	Politics	Election 2020 Issues: Racism	Tue Nov 17, 2020 @ 15:15	29	1778
	Politics	Election 2020 Issues: Education	Tue Jun 11, 2019 @ 03:47	12	1058
	Politics	Election 2020 Issues: Immigration	Tue Oct 29, 2019 @ 01:43	30	2963
	Politics	Election 2020 Issues: Election Reform	Fri Jun 28, 2019 @ 14:26	6	1091
	Politics	Trump would lose, If the 2020 election were today	Tue Mar 05, 2019 @ 00:39	16	1155

Politics