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US Election 2012

Most likely Presidential election results?

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shinobinoz On May 28, 2017
Stnd w Standing Rock





Wichita, Kansas
#1New Post! Aug 05, 2012 @ 18:08:24
Nate Silver's pick
Electoral College
Obama 299.8
Romney 238.2

Chance of winning
Obama 70.9%
Romney 29.1%

Poplar Vote
Obama 50.7%
Romney 48.3%

And other calculations
https://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/
shinobinoz On May 28, 2017
Stnd w Standing Rock





Wichita, Kansas
#2New Post! Aug 05, 2012 @ 18:11:01
Oh yeah,
Keep in mind that Silver got 2008 right.
Selecting 50 of 51 States/D. C. only missing Indiana
AND every single Senate race.
Cpat92 On May 16, 2021
It's all or nothing





Lauderhill, Florida
#3New Post! Aug 05, 2012 @ 18:42:08
Interesting
shinobinoz On May 28, 2017
Stnd w Standing Rock





Wichita, Kansas
#4New Post! Aug 18, 2012 @ 23:20:37
I went back through the polls since Romney became the pubs man.
Of the 249 polls
They rated a tie 25 times
Romney polled ahead 43
Obama won 181
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
Considering that more than 50% of Romney's 43 wins are Rasmussen & Gallup I'm thinking they don't really know how to poll well. We will see I guess.
Pcptrvanion On November 10, 2014




Howe, Texas
#5New Post! Aug 19, 2012 @ 14:26:22
@shinobinoz Said

I went back through the polls since Romney became the pubs man.
Of the 249 polls
They rated a tie 25 times
Romney polled ahead 43
Obama won 181
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
Considering that more than 50% of Romney's 43 wins are Rasmussen & Gallup I'm thinking they don't really know how to poll well. We will see I guess.



When the Democrat lapdogs at ABC conduct their "poll" in the DNC lobby it doesn't surprise anyone the Mr. Obabma gets 51% of the vote.

If you read the fine print most of those "polls" are NOT scientific or even properly conducted.

Admitted in their own methodology the Democrat portion of the sample out-weighs the Republican portion by about 5-to-3...and Mr. Obama still barely leads.

Personally, I think it will be close but I can see a LOT more Republicans in Washington next Spring.
shinobinoz On May 28, 2017
Stnd w Standing Rock





Wichita, Kansas
#6New Post! Aug 19, 2012 @ 15:50:46
@Pcptrvanion Said

When the Democrat lapdogs at ABC conduct their "poll" in the DNC lobby it doesn't surprise anyone the Mr. Obabma gets 51% of the vote.

If you read the fine print most of those "polls" are NOT scientific or even properly conducted.

Admitted in their own methodology the Democrat portion of the sample out-weighs the Republican portion by about 5-to-3...and Mr. Obama still barely leads.

Personally, I think it will be close but I can see a LOT more Republicans in Washington next Spring.


How's about showing us that "fine print"?
Leon On May 14, 2021




San Diego, California
#7New Post! Aug 19, 2012 @ 17:58:02
@Pcptrvanion Said

When the Democrat lapdogs at ABC conduct their "poll" in the DNC lobby it doesn't surprise anyone the Mr. Obabma gets 51% of the vote.

If you read the fine print most of those "polls" are NOT scientific or even properly conducted.

Admitted in their own methodology the Democrat portion of the sample out-weighs the Republican portion by about 5-to-3...and Mr. Obama still barely leads.

Personally, I think it will be close but I can see a LOT more Republicans in Washington next Spring.


So are you going to talk about the other 180 polls that Obama shows a lead, or just ABC's.
Pcptrvanion On November 10, 2014




Howe, Texas
#8New Post! Aug 19, 2012 @ 21:40:06
@Leon Said

So are you going to talk about the other 180 polls that Obama shows a lead, or just ABC's.



Most news "polls" are a joke anyway.

FOX spins everything to the Right.

The rest of the alphabet "news" teams root for the Left.

MSNBC is so far to the Left that they could be staffed with former PRAVDA associates.

CNN has for years been referred to as the Communist News Network.

NBC and CBS don't even try to hide their contempt for Conservatives anymore...but since Rush Limbaugh has a larger audience than both of these COMBINED most folks are not aware that the "news" has been replaced with Leftist propaganda.

ABC still pretends to be unbiased but they don't pull it off very well.
They are about as far Left of Center as FOX is to the Right.
Truth is somewhere between them.
Leon On May 14, 2021




San Diego, California
#9New Post! Aug 19, 2012 @ 22:05:16
@Pcptrvanion Said

Most news "polls" are a joke anyway.

FOX spins everything to the Right.

The rest of the alphabet "news" teams root for the Left.

MSNBC is so far to the Left that they could be staffed with former PRAVDA associates.

CNN has for years been referred to as the Communist News Network.

NBC and CBS don't even try to hide their contempt for Conservatives anymore...but since Rush Limbaugh has a larger audience than both of these COMBINED most folks are not aware that the "news" has been replaced with Leftist propaganda.

ABC still pretends to be unbiased but they don't pull it off very well.
They are about as far Left of Center as FOX is to the Right.
Truth is somewhere between them.


Then how about we combine ALL the polls and average them? That would be about as near the truth than just looking at one or a few biased ones, as you are doing, wouldn't it?

RealClearPolitics does this.
shinobinoz On May 28, 2017
Stnd w Standing Rock





Wichita, Kansas
#10New Post! Aug 19, 2012 @ 23:37:32
@Leon Said

Then how about we combine ALL the polls and average them? That would be about as near the truth than just looking at one or a few biased ones, as you are doing, wouldn't it?

RealClearPolitics does this.


Which is exactly where my info was from!
Pcptrvanion On November 10, 2014




Howe, Texas
#11New Post! Aug 20, 2012 @ 23:33:40
@Leon Said

Then how about we combine ALL the polls and average them? That would be about as near the truth than just looking at one or a few biased ones, as you are doing, wouldn't it?

RealClearPolitics does this.



Hmmm...take a dozen or so Leftist polls that are grossly skewed.
Average them together.
...and this gets us closer to the truth how?

This is why the Left has walked away from EVERY election cycle for the past two decades screaming that the elections were rigged.
Their "polls" NEVER match the reality of what the people actually want.
BozieFozie On August 08, 2017
Life's a Beach





Paradise, Florida
#12New Post! Aug 20, 2012 @ 23:40:55
Obama wins again....look at the alternative. Do we REALLY want Romney to run this country????
Leon On May 14, 2021




San Diego, California
#13New Post! Aug 21, 2012 @ 00:54:47
@Pcptrvanion Said

Hmmm...take a dozen or so Leftist polls that are grossly skewed.
Average them together.
...and this gets us closer to the truth how?



Nope. They take ALL polls.
El_Tino On August 10, 2020
booyaka!





Albuquerque, New Mexico
#14New Post! Aug 21, 2012 @ 06:36:34
https://intrade.com/
shinobinoz On May 28, 2017
Stnd w Standing Rock





Wichita, Kansas
#15New Post! Aug 23, 2012 @ 02:59:25
@Pcptrvanion Said

Hmmm...take a dozen or so Leftist polls that are grossly skewed.
Average them together.
...and this gets us closer to the truth how?

This is why the Left has walked away from EVERY election cycle for the past two decades screaming that the elections were rigged.
Their "polls" NEVER match the reality of what the people actually want.


Do you have some substance or facts to back up your opinion or just s***'n and expecting us to not know who's causing the stench?
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